Cardiff City vs Birmingham City prediction
Cardiff City19th · 11 pts
Birmingham City5th · 20 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Cardiff City36%2.80
- Draw25%3.97
- Birmingham City39%2.56
Double chance
- Cardiff City or draw61%1.64
- Cardiff City or Birmingham City75%1.34
- Draw or Birmingham City64%1.56
Goals
- Over 2.562%1.60
- Under 2.538%2.66
Both teams to score
- Yes64%1.57
- No36%2.76
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Cardiff City 36%, draw 25%, Birmingham City 39%.
Expected goals from the model: Cardiff City 1.53, Birmingham City 1.69. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 62%.
Cardiff City have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DWLWL).
Birmingham City have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWDW).
In the table Cardiff City are 19th with 11 points and Birmingham City 5th with 20.
In their last 5 league meetings Cardiff City won 3, Birmingham City won 1 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 1-29%
- 2-18%
- 0-17%
- 2-27%
Cardiff City form
- Dat Middlesbrough2-22026-10-17
- Wvs Watford5-12026-10-13
- Lat Blackburn Rovers1-22026-10-10
- Wvs Charlton Athletic3-12026-09-19
- Lat Bolton Wanderers0-12026-09-12
Birmingham City form
- Wvs Queens Park Rangers3-02026-10-17
- Wvs Preston North End4-02026-10-13
- Wat West Bromwich Albion1-02026-10-10
- Dvs Middlesbrough2-22026-09-19
- Wat Derby County2-12026-09-12
Head to head
- 2024-04-10Birmingham City 0-1 Cardiff City
- 2023-12-13Cardiff City 0-1 Birmingham City
- 2023-02-14Birmingham City 0-2 Cardiff City
- 2022-08-13Cardiff City 1-0 Birmingham City
- 2022-04-30Cardiff City 1-1 Birmingham City
More Championship predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.