Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough prediction
Bolton Wanderers15th · 14 ptsFri 23 Oct
Middlesbrough3rd · 22 ptsBolton WanderersDrawMiddlesbrough
Our predictionMiddlesbrough to winOpen game
36%Probability
2.75Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.33-1.40Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Bolton Wanderers36%2.77
- Draw28%3.63
- Middlesbrough36%2.75
Double chance
- Bolton Wanderers or draw64%1.57
- Bolton Wanderers or Middlesbrough72%1.38
- Draw or Middlesbrough64%1.56
Goals
- Over 2.551%1.95
- Under 2.549%2.05
Both teams to score
- Yes55%1.81
- No45%2.23
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Bolton Wanderers 36%, draw 28%, Middlesbrough 36%.
Expected goals from the model: Bolton Wanderers 1.33, Middlesbrough 1.40. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 51%.
Bolton Wanderers have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWLWW).
Middlesbrough have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (DWWDD).
In the table Bolton Wanderers are 15th with 14 points and Middlesbrough 3rd with 22.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-19%
- 1-09%
- 1-28%
- 2-18%
Bolton Wanderers form
WWLWD
- Dat Southampton0-02026-10-17
- Wat Wolverhampton Wanderers3-12026-10-13
- Lvs Stoke City1-22026-10-10
- Wat Norwich City4-32026-09-20
- Wvs Cardiff City1-02026-09-12
Middlesbrough form
DDWWD
- Dvs Cardiff City2-22026-10-17
- Wat Stoke City3-22026-10-13
- Wvs Wolverhampton Wanderers1-02026-10-10
- Dat Birmingham City2-22026-09-19
- Dvs Millwall2-22026-09-15
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.