Wrexham vs Middlesbrough prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Wrexham25%4.01
- Draw27%3.71
- Middlesbrough48%2.08
Double chance
- Wrexham or draw52%1.93
- Wrexham or Middlesbrough73%1.37
- Draw or Middlesbrough75%1.33
Goals
- Over 2.550%2.02
- Under 2.550%1.98
Both teams to score
- Yes52%1.93
- No48%2.08
Match in numbers
This season, Wrexham at home and Middlesbrough away
| Wrexham (home) | Middlesbrough (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 1.83 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.67 | 2.17 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.2 | 6.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.2 | 3.6 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 83% |
- Middlesbrough are unbeaten in 11 league matches.
- Wrexham: 19th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 13th in the league.
- Middlesbrough: 2nd in the table; the model rates their attack 3rd and their defence 1st in the league.
- Our predictions for Wrexham matches: 2 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Middlesbrough matches: 2 of 4 correct.
Match preview
Middlesbrough have the edge at 48%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 27% and a win for Wrexham at 25%.
At home this season Wrexham average 1.33 points and 1.7 goals per game, conceding 1.3. Away from home Middlesbrough take 1.83 points per game, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.3. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Wrexham manage 4.2 per home game and Middlesbrough 6.0 per away game.
Form lines: Middlesbrough are unbeaten in 11 league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Wrexham 1.06, Middlesbrough 1.59. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 50%.
Both of their last league meetings ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-111%
- 1-29%
- 0-29%
- 1-08%
Wrexham form
- Lat Sheffield United0-12026-10-30
- Lat Blackburn Rovers0-22026-10-24
- Wvs Preston North End4-12026-10-17
- Lvs West Bromwich Albion1-22026-10-13
- Dat Derby County1-12026-10-10
Middlesbrough form
- Wvs Charlton Athletic3-02026-10-31
- Wat Bolton Wanderers5-12026-10-23
- Dvs Cardiff City2-22026-10-17
- Wat Stoke City3-22026-10-13
- Wvs Wolverhampton Wanderers1-02026-10-10
Head to head
- 2026-05-02Wrexham 2-2 Middlesbrough
- 2025-10-25Middlesbrough 1-1 Wrexham
Prediction made 2026-11-04 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.