Norwich City vs Watford prediction
Norwich City21st · 9 pts
Watford20th · 11 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Norwich City57%1.76
- Draw23%4.42
- Watford21%4.85
Double chance
- Norwich City or draw79%1.26
- Norwich City or Watford77%1.29
- Draw or Watford43%2.31
Goals
- Over 2.558%1.73
- Under 2.542%2.38
Both teams to score
- Yes58%1.74
- No42%2.36
Match in numbers
This season, Norwich City at home and Watford away
| Norwich City (home) | Watford (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.67 | 0.40 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.8 | 3.4 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.7 | 6.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 40% |
- Norwich City have lost their last 5 league matches.
- Norwich City: 21st in the table; the model rates their attack 6th and their defence 13th in the league.
- Watford: 20th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 20th in the league.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Norwich City (57%), though Watford win 21% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 23%.
At home this season Norwich City average 1.00 points and 1.7 goals per game, conceding 1.7. Away from home Watford take 0.20 points per game, scoring 0.4 and conceding 2.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.8 per game for Norwich City at home and 3.4 for Watford on the road.
Current runs: Norwich City have lost their last 5 league matches.
Norwich City sit 21st in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 7th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
The model expects 1.86 goals from Norwich City and 1.15 from Watford; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 58% and both teams to score 58%.
In their last 5 league meetings Norwich City won 3 and Watford won 2.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-110%
- 1-09%
- 2-08%
- 1-26%
Norwich City form
- Lvs Portsmouth0-12026-10-17
- Lvs Southampton0-12026-10-14
- Lat Swansea City1-22026-10-10
- Lvs Bolton Wanderers3-42026-09-20
- Lat Middlesbrough3-42026-09-12
Watford form
- Wvs Charlton Athletic2-02026-10-17
- Lat Cardiff City1-52026-10-13
- Lvs Burnley0-42026-10-10
- Lat Bristol City0-12026-09-18
- Lvs Stoke City1-22026-09-12
Head to head
- 2025-12-29Norwich City 0-1 Watford
- 2025-12-06Watford 3-2 Norwich City
- 2025-02-01Watford 0-1 Norwich City
- 2024-09-21Norwich City 4-1 Watford
- 2024-02-13Norwich City 4-2 Watford
More Championship predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.