Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford prediction

England · Championship · 24 October 2026

Wolverhampton Wanderers8th · 18 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Watford20th · 11 pts
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawWatford
Our predictionWolverhampton Wanderers to winStrong pick
64%Probability
1.57Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.17-1.14Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Wolverhampton Wanderers64%1.57
  • Draw20%5.11
  • Watford17%5.99

Double chance

  • Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw83%1.20
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers or Watford80%1.24
  • Draw or Watford36%2.76

Goals

  • Over 2.564%1.56
  • Under 2.536%2.78

Both teams to score

  • Yes60%1.67
  • No40%2.49

Match preview

The model makes Wolverhampton Wanderers clear favourites, with a 64% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 20% and a win for Watford at 17%.

Expected goals from the model: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2.17, Watford 1.14. The single most likely score is 2-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 64%.

Wolverhampton Wanderers have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DWLLW).

Watford have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (WLLLL).

In the table Wolverhampton Wanderers are 8th with 18 points and Watford 20th with 11.

In their last 3 league meetings Wolverhampton Wanderers won 2, Watford won 1 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-110%
  • 1-19%
  • 2-09%
  • 1-08%
  • 3-17%

Wolverhampton Wanderers form

WLLWD
  • Dvs Portsmouth1-12026-10-20
  • Wat Burnley2-12026-10-16
  • Lvs Bolton Wanderers1-32026-10-13
  • Lat Middlesbrough0-12026-10-10
  • Wvs West Bromwich Albion1-02026-09-20

Watford form

LLLLW
  • Wvs Charlton Athletic2-02026-10-17
  • Lat Cardiff City1-52026-10-13
  • Lvs Burnley0-42026-10-10
  • Lat Bristol City0-12026-09-18
  • Lvs Stoke City1-22026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2022-03-10Wolverhampton Wanderers 4-0 Watford
  • 2021-09-11Watford 0-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 2020-01-01Watford 2-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers

More Championship predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.