Toluca predictions
Model probabilities for the next Toluca match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.
No scheduled matches in the next eight days.
Past Toluca predictions
Full history ›Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 3.
Toluca
Monterrey
Club América
LeónToluca in the backtest
July 2023 to October 2026
We ran the current model over Toluca league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.
| Season (July to June) | Matches | Right result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 11 | 5 of 11 (45%) |
| 2025-26 | 41 | 24 of 41 (59%) |
| 2024-25 | 42 | 27 of 42 (64%) |
| 2023-24 | 36 | 16 of 36 (44%) |
Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.
Toluca this season
League matches in our data
| All | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 16 | 8 | 8 |
| Points per game | 1.69 | 1.75 | 1.62 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.19 | 2.75 | 1.62 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.31 | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.4 | 7.5 | 5.5 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.9 | 3.7 | 5.9 |
| Clean sheets | 31% | 25% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 88% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 69% | 75% | 62% |
- Toluca are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
- The model rates their attack 3rd and their defence 2nd in the league.
Toluca form
- Wvs Monterrey4-02026-11-08
- Dat Club América2-22026-11-01
- Dat León1-12026-10-24
- Dvs Tijuana2-22026-10-22
- Dvs Atlético San Luis1-12026-10-18
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.