Club América vs Toluca prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Club América47%2.12
- Draw24%4.12
- Toluca29%3.50
Double chance
- Club América or draw71%1.40
- Club América or Toluca76%1.32
- Draw or Toluca53%1.89
Goals
- Over 2.562%1.61
- Under 2.538%2.63
Both teams to score
- Yes63%1.59
- No37%2.69
Match in numbers
This season, Club América at home and Toluca away
| Club América (home) | Toluca (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Points per game | 1.71 | 1.71 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.86 | 1.57 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.7 | 5.3 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.0 | 5.9 |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 57% |
- Club América have scored in 16 straight league matches.
- Toluca have gone 6 league matches without a win.
- Club América: 1st in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 5th in the league.
- Toluca: 5th in the table; the model rates their attack 3rd and their defence 2nd in the league.
- Our predictions for Club América matches: 0 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Toluca matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Club América (47%), though Toluca win 29% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 24%.
At home this season Club América average 1.71 points and 1.9 goals per game, conceding 0.9. Away from home Toluca take 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.1. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 6.7 per game for Club América at home and 5.3 for Toluca on the road.
Current runs: Club América have scored in 16 straight league matches; Toluca have gone 6 league matches without a win.
The model expects 1.78 goals from Club América and 1.42 from Toluca; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 62% and both teams to score 63%.
In their last 5 league meetings Club América won 2, Toluca won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-19%
- 1-07%
- 1-27%
- 2-27%
Club América form
- Dvs Tijuana1-12026-10-29
- Lvs Pachuca1-22026-10-26
- Wat Atlas5-22026-10-22
- Wat León5-32026-10-18
- Dvs Monterrey1-12026-10-11
Toluca form
- Dat León1-12026-10-24
- Dvs Tijuana2-22026-10-22
- Dvs Atlético San Luis1-12026-10-18
- Lat Tigres UANL2-32026-10-10
- Dat Cruz Azul3-32026-09-26
Head to head
- 2026-04-19Club América 2-1 Toluca
- 2025-11-09Toluca 2-0 Club América
- 2025-05-26Toluca 2-0 Club América
- 2025-05-23Club América 0-0 Toluca
- 2025-03-01Club América 3-0 Toluca
More Liga MX predictions
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Querétaro
MonterreyPrediction made 2026-11-01 02:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.