Updated 20:17 UTCTrack record

Querétaro vs Monterrey prediction

Mexico · Liga MX · 14 November 2026

Querétaro12th · 20 pts
Sat 14 Nov
Monterrey10th · 21 pts
QuerétaroDrawMonterrey
Our predictionMonterrey to winOpen game
38%Probability
2.61Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.23-1.43Expected goals
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Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Querétaro34%2.95
  • Draw28%3.60
  • Monterrey38%2.61

Double chance

  • Querétaro or draw62%1.62
  • Querétaro or Monterrey72%1.39
  • Draw or Monterrey66%1.51

Goals

  • Over 2.550%2.01
  • Under 2.550%1.99

Both teams to score

  • Yes54%1.86
  • No46%2.16

Match in numbers

This season, Querétaro at home and Monterrey away

Querétaro (home)Monterrey (away)
Matches77
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored per game1.141.43
Goals conceded per game1.572.00
Shots on target per game3.74.2
Shots on target conceded6.25.7
Clean sheets14%14%
Over 2.5 goals43%57%
Both teams scored57%57%
  • Querétaro have lost their last 5 league matches.
  • Querétaro: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 9th in the league.
  • Monterrey: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 5th and their defence 10th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Querétaro matches: 1 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Monterrey matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 34% for Querétaro, 28% for the draw and 38% for Monterrey.

At home this season Querétaro average 1.00 points and 1.1 goals per game, conceding 1.6. Away from home Monterrey take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.7 per game for Querétaro at home and 4.2 for Monterrey on the road.

Current runs: Querétaro have lost their last 5 league matches.

Querétaro are 12th in the table while the model ranks them only 17th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 1.23 goals from Querétaro and 1.43 from Monterrey; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 50% and both teams to score 54%.

In their last 5 league meetings Monterrey won 4 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 0-110%
  • 1-29%
  • 1-09%
  • 2-18%

Querétaro form

LLLLL
  • Lvs Puebla0-22026-11-09
  • Lat Juárez1-32026-10-31
  • Lvs Cruz Azul1-32026-10-26
  • Lat Atlético San Luis1-22026-10-21
  • Lat Santos Laguna0-52026-10-17

Monterrey form

WWLDL
  • Lat Toluca0-42026-11-08
  • Dvs Tijuana3-32026-11-01
  • Lvs Guadalajara0-12026-10-25
  • Wat Puebla4-12026-10-22
  • Wvs Pachuca2-12026-10-19

Head to head

  • 2026-03-05Monterrey 4-0 Querétaro
  • 2025-09-14Querétaro 0-1 Monterrey
  • 2025-02-16Querétaro 2-4 Monterrey
  • 2024-07-21Monterrey 2-1 Querétaro
  • 2024-01-25Monterrey 1-1 Querétaro

Prediction last updated 2026-11-09 20:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.