Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Stoke City predictions

Model probabilities for the next Stoke City match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.

3rdin the Championship table
29points from 15 matches
9-2-4won, drawn, lost
24-18goals for and against

No scheduled matches in the next eight days.

Past Stoke City predictions

Full history ›

Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 4.

Stoke City in the backtest

July 2023 to October 2026

We ran the current model over Stoke City league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.

49.0%right result in 73 of 149 Stoke City matches
23 of 54Stoke City wins when the model favoured them
25 of 95Stoke City wins when the model favoured the opponent
Season (July to June)MatchesRight result
2026-27115 of 11 (45%)
2025-264624 of 46 (52%)
2024-254625 of 46 (54%)
2023-244619 of 46 (41%)

Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.

Stoke City this season

League matches in our data

AllHomeAway
Matches1578
Points per game1.931.862.00
Goals scored per game1.601.711.50
Goals conceded per game1.200.861.50
Shots on target per game3.63.63.7
Shots on target conceded3.73.44.0
Clean sheets33%57%12%
Over 2.5 goals67%57%75%
Both teams scored67%43%88%
  • Stoke City have won their last 3 league matches.
  • The model rates their attack 19th and their defence 9th in the league.

Stoke City form

WDWWW
  • Wat Portsmouth2-12026-11-07
  • Wat Blackburn Rovers2-12026-11-03
  • Wvs Preston North End2-02026-10-31
  • Dvs Bristol City0-02026-10-24
  • Wat Derby County1-02026-10-17

Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.