Portsmouth vs Stoke City prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Portsmouth46%2.19
- Draw28%3.55
- Stoke City26%3.83
Double chance
- Portsmouth or draw74%1.35
- Portsmouth or Stoke City72%1.39
- Draw or Stoke City54%1.84
Goals
- Over 2.540%2.50
- Under 2.560%1.67
Both teams to score
- Yes46%2.20
- No54%1.84
Match in numbers
This season, Portsmouth at home and Stoke City away
| Portsmouth (home) | Stoke City (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 1.86 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.86 | 1.43 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.7 | 3.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.8 | 4.2 |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 71% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 86% |
- Portsmouth are unbeaten in 6 league matches.
- Portsmouth: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 20th and their defence 10th in the league.
- Stoke City: 5th in the table; the model rates their attack 19th and their defence 9th in the league.
- Our predictions for Portsmouth matches: 1 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Stoke City matches: 1 of 4 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Portsmouth (46%), though Stoke City win 26% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 28%.
At home this season Portsmouth average 1.86 points and 1.9 goals per game, conceding 1.6. Away from home Stoke City take 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.7 per game for Portsmouth at home and 3.8 for Stoke City on the road.
Current runs: Portsmouth are unbeaten in 6 league matches.
Portsmouth are 10th in the table while the model ranks them only 18th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Stoke City are 5th in the table while the model ranks them only 17th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
The model expects 1.28 goals from Portsmouth and 1.01 from Stoke City; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 40% and both teams to score 46%.
In their last 4 league meetings Portsmouth won 2 and Stoke City won 2.
Most likely scores
- 1-013%
- 1-113%
- 0-110%
- 0-010%
- 2-18%
Portsmouth form
- Wvs Swansea City3-12026-11-03
- Dat Burnley0-02026-10-31
- Wvs Millwall2-12026-10-24
- Dat Wolverhampton Wanderers1-12026-10-20
- Wat Norwich City1-02026-10-17
Stoke City form
- Wat Blackburn Rovers2-12026-11-03
- Wvs Preston North End2-02026-10-31
- Dvs Bristol City0-02026-10-24
- Wat Derby County1-02026-10-17
- Lvs Middlesbrough2-32026-10-13
Head to head
- 2026-04-25Stoke City 1-3 Portsmouth
- 2025-10-25Portsmouth 0-1 Stoke City
- 2025-01-22Portsmouth 3-1 Stoke City
- 2024-10-02Stoke City 6-1 Portsmouth
Prediction made 2026-11-07 12:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.