Stoke City vs Preston North End prediction
Stoke City7th · 19 pts
Preston North End24th · 4 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Stoke City54%1.84
- Draw25%4.07
- Preston North End21%4.77
Double chance
- Stoke City or draw79%1.27
- Stoke City or Preston North End75%1.33
- Draw or Preston North End46%2.19
Goals
- Over 2.546%2.19
- Under 2.554%1.84
Both teams to score
- Yes49%2.04
- No51%1.96
Match in numbers
This season, Stoke City at home and Preston North End away
| Stoke City (home) | Preston North End (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.17 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.00 | 0.83 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.20 | 2.50 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.6 | 2.4 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.8 | 5.2 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 67% |
- Stoke City have scored in 11 straight league matches.
- Preston North End have lost their last 3 league matches.
- Stoke City: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 20th and their defence 15th in the league.
- Preston North End: 24th in the table; the model rates their attack 22nd and their defence 22nd in the league.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Stoke City (54%), though Preston North End win 21% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 25%.
At home this season Stoke City average 1.80 points and 2.0 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Preston North End take 0.17 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.5. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.6 per game for Stoke City at home and 2.4 for Preston North End on the road.
Current runs: Stoke City have scored in 11 straight league matches; Preston North End have lost their last 3 league matches.
Stoke City are 7th in the table while the model ranks them only 19th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
The model expects 1.50 goals from Stoke City and 1.00 from Preston North End; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 49%.
In their last 5 league meetings Stoke City won 1, Preston North End won 1 and 3 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-013%
- 1-112%
- 2-19%
- 2-09%
- 0-18%
Stoke City form
- Wat Derby County1-02026-10-17
- Lvs Middlesbrough2-32026-10-13
- Wat Bolton Wanderers2-12026-10-10
- Wvs Sheffield United2-12026-09-19
- Wat Watford2-12026-09-12
Preston North End form
- Lat Wrexham1-42026-10-17
- Lat Birmingham City0-42026-10-13
- Lvs Millwall0-12026-10-10
- Dat Queens Park Rangers2-22026-09-19
- Lvs Lincoln City0-12026-09-12
Head to head
- 2026-03-20Preston North End 3-1 Stoke City
- 2025-12-26Stoke City 0-0 Preston North End
- 2025-04-05Preston North End 1-1 Stoke City
- 2024-11-26Stoke City 0-0 Preston North End
- 2024-03-09Preston North End 1-2 Stoke City
More Championship predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.