Stoke City vs Bristol City prediction
Stoke City7th · 19 pts
Bristol City16th · 14 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Stoke City41%2.43
- Draw28%3.54
- Bristol City31%3.26
Double chance
- Stoke City or draw69%1.44
- Stoke City or Bristol City72%1.39
- Draw or Bristol City59%1.70
Goals
- Over 2.544%2.28
- Under 2.556%1.78
Both teams to score
- Yes49%2.03
- No51%1.97
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Stoke City 41%, draw 28%, Bristol City 31%.
Expected goals from the model: Stoke City 1.26, Bristol City 1.17. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 44%.
Stoke City have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLWWW).
Bristol City have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLDWL).
In the table Stoke City are 7th with 19 points and Bristol City 16th with 14.
In their last 5 league meetings Stoke City won 2, Bristol City won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-011%
- 0-111%
- 0-09%
- 2-18%
Stoke City form
- Wat Derby County1-02026-10-17
- Lvs Middlesbrough2-32026-10-13
- Wat Bolton Wanderers2-12026-10-10
- Wvs Sheffield United2-12026-09-19
- Wat Watford2-12026-09-12
Bristol City form
- Lvs Sheffield United0-12026-10-17
- Lvs Blackburn Rovers0-12026-10-13
- Dat Charlton Athletic1-12026-10-10
- Wvs Watford1-02026-09-18
- Lvs Lincoln City0-12026-09-15
Head to head
- 2026-05-02Bristol City 2-0 Stoke City
- 2025-11-01Stoke City 5-1 Bristol City
- 2025-02-12Bristol City 2-0 Stoke City
- 2024-10-22Stoke City 2-2 Bristol City
- 2024-05-04Stoke City 4-0 Bristol City
More Championship predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.