Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Blackburn Rovers43%2.30
- Draw29%3.43
- Stoke City27%3.66
Double chance
- Blackburn Rovers or draw73%1.38
- Blackburn Rovers or Stoke City71%1.41
- Draw or Stoke City57%1.77
Goals
- Over 2.538%2.62
- Under 2.562%1.62
Both teams to score
- Yes44%2.27
- No56%1.79
Match in numbers
This season, Blackburn Rovers at home and Stoke City away
| Blackburn Rovers (home) | Stoke City (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.83 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.17 | 1.67 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.4 | 4.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 2.2 | 4.4 |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 83% | 83% |
- Stoke City have kept 3 clean sheets in a row.
- Blackburn Rovers: 13th in the table; the model rates their attack 21st and their defence 7th in the league.
- Stoke City: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 19th and their defence 9th in the league.
- Our predictions for Blackburn Rovers matches: 2 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Stoke City matches: 1 of 4 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Blackburn Rovers 43%, draw 29%, Stoke City 27%.
At home this season Blackburn Rovers average 2.00 points and 1.8 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Stoke City take 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Blackburn Rovers manage 5.4 per home game and Stoke City 4.0 per away game.
Form lines: Stoke City have kept 3 clean sheets in a row.
Blackburn Rovers are 13th in the table while the model ranks them only 19th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Stoke City are 7th in the table while the model ranks them only 17th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Expected goals from the model: Blackburn Rovers 1.24, Stoke City 0.98. The single most likely score is 1-0 (14%), and the chance of three or more goals is 38%.
In their last 5 league meetings Blackburn Rovers won 1, Stoke City won 2 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-014%
- 1-113%
- 0-111%
- 0-011%
- 2-08%
Blackburn Rovers form
- Lat Swansea City0-42026-10-31
- Wvs Wrexham2-02026-10-24
- Lat West Bromwich Albion2-32026-10-17
- Wat Bristol City1-02026-10-13
- Wvs Cardiff City2-12026-10-10
Stoke City form
- Wvs Preston North End2-02026-10-31
- Dvs Bristol City0-02026-10-24
- Wat Derby County1-02026-10-17
- Lvs Middlesbrough2-32026-10-13
- Wat Bolton Wanderers2-12026-10-10
Head to head
- 2026-04-11Stoke City 1-1 Blackburn Rovers
- 2025-10-04Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Stoke City
- 2025-03-12Stoke City 1-0 Blackburn Rovers
- 2024-11-06Blackburn Rovers 0-2 Stoke City
- 2024-02-10Blackburn Rovers 3-1 Stoke City
Prediction made 2026-11-03 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.