Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Southampton predictions

Model probabilities for the next Southampton match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.

4thin the Championship table
28points from 15 matches
8-4-3won, drawn, lost
29-15goals for and against

No scheduled matches in the next eight days.

Past Southampton predictions

Full history ›

Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 4.

Southampton in the backtest

July 2023 to October 2026

We ran the current model over Southampton league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.

54.5%right result in 78 of 143 Southampton matches
42 of 83Southampton wins when the model favoured them
14 of 60Southampton wins when the model favoured the opponent
Season (July to June)MatchesRight result
2026-27116 of 11 (55%)
2025-264619 of 46 (41%)
2024-253828 of 38 (74%)
2023-244825 of 48 (52%)

Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.

Southampton this season

League matches in our data

AllHomeAway
Matches1578
Points per game1.872.711.12
Goals scored per game1.932.861.12
Goals conceded per game1.000.711.25
Shots on target per game4.74.35.0
Shots on target conceded4.23.54.8
Clean sheets20%29%12%
Over 2.5 goals53%71%38%
Both teams scored73%71%75%
  • The model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 5th in the league.

Southampton form

DWWDL
  • Lat Preston North End0-12026-11-07
  • Dat West Bromwich Albion1-12026-11-03
  • Wvs Queens Park Rangers4-12026-10-31
  • Wat West Ham United3-22026-10-24
  • Dvs Bolton Wanderers0-02026-10-17

Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.