Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton prediction

England · Championship · 03 November 2026

1 - 1Full time
Southampton2nd · 27 pts
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSouthampton
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Southampton to win (41%)
Our predictionSouthampton to winOpen game
41%Probability
2.46Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.23-1.32Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • West Bromwich Albion31%3.18
  • Draw28%3.58
  • Southampton41%2.46

Double chance

  • West Bromwich Albion or draw59%1.68
  • West Bromwich Albion or Southampton72%1.39
  • Draw or Southampton69%1.46

Goals

  • Over 2.547%2.14
  • Under 2.553%1.88

Both teams to score

  • Yes52%1.94
  • No48%2.06

Match in numbers

This season, West Bromwich Albion at home and Southampton away

West Bromwich Albion (home)Southampton (away)
Matches66
Points per game1.831.33
Goals scored per game1.501.33
Goals conceded per game1.001.33
Shots on target per game4.04.8
Shots on target conceded3.05.2
Clean sheets17%17%
Over 2.5 goals33%50%
Both teams scored67%83%
  • Southampton are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
  • West Bromwich Albion: 5th in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 2nd in the league.
  • Southampton: 2nd in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 5th in the league.
  • Our predictions for West Bromwich Albion matches: 1 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for Southampton matches: 1 of 4 correct.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 31% for West Bromwich Albion, 28% for the draw and 41% for Southampton.

At home this season West Bromwich Albion average 1.83 points and 1.5 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Southampton take 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.0 per game for West Bromwich Albion at home and 4.8 for Southampton on the road.

Current runs: Southampton are unbeaten in 5 league matches.

The model expects 1.23 goals from West Bromwich Albion and 1.32 from Southampton; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 47% and both teams to score 52%.

In their last 5 league meetings Southampton won 3 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 0-111%
  • 1-010%
  • 1-28%
  • 2-18%

West Bromwich Albion form

LWWDW
  • Wat West Ham United3-12026-10-31
  • Dat Preston North End1-12026-10-24
  • Wvs Blackburn Rovers3-22026-10-17
  • Wat Wrexham2-12026-10-13
  • Lvs Birmingham City0-12026-10-10

Southampton form

WWDWW
  • Wvs Queens Park Rangers4-12026-10-31
  • Wat West Ham United3-22026-10-24
  • Dvs Bolton Wanderers0-02026-10-17
  • Wat Norwich City1-02026-10-14
  • Wvs Portsmouth1-02026-10-11

Head to head

  • 2026-03-11West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Southampton
  • 2025-12-09Southampton 3-2 West Bromwich Albion
  • 2024-05-17Southampton 3-1 West Bromwich Albion
  • 2024-05-12West Bromwich Albion 0-0 Southampton
  • 2024-02-16West Bromwich Albion 0-2 Southampton

Prediction made 2026-11-03 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.