Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Preston North End vs Southampton prediction

England · Championship · 07 November 2026

Preston North End24th · 5 pts
1 - 0Full time
Southampton1st · 28 pts
Preston North EndDrawSouthampton
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Southampton to win (63%)
Our predictionSouthampton to winStrong pick
63%Probability
1.58Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.08-1.83Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Preston North End17%5.94
  • Draw20%5.02
  • Southampton63%1.58

Double chance

  • Preston North End or draw37%2.72
  • Preston North End or Southampton80%1.25
  • Draw or Southampton83%1.20

Goals

  • Over 2.556%1.80
  • Under 2.544%2.25

Both teams to score

  • Yes55%1.81
  • No45%2.23

Match in numbers

This season, Preston North End at home and Southampton away

Preston North End (home)Southampton (away)
Matches77
Points per game0.571.29
Goals scored per game1.001.29
Goals conceded per game1.861.29
Shots on target per game2.84.6
Shots on target conceded4.75.1
Clean sheets0%14%
Over 2.5 goals57%43%
Both teams scored71%86%
  • Preston North End have gone 9 league matches without a win.
  • Southampton are unbeaten in 6 league matches.
  • Preston North End: 24th in the table; the model rates their attack 22nd and their defence 22nd in the league.
  • Southampton: 1st in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 5th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Preston North End matches: 2 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for Southampton matches: 1 of 4 correct.

Match preview

Southampton go in as strong favourites: 63% to win, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Preston North End.

At home this season Preston North End average 0.57 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 1.9. Away from home Southampton take 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 2.8 per game for Preston North End at home and 4.6 for Southampton on the road.

Current runs: Preston North End have gone 9 league matches without a win; Southampton are unbeaten in 6 league matches.

The model expects 1.08 goals from Preston North End and 1.83 from Southampton; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 55%.

In their last 4 league meetings Preston North End won 1, Southampton won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 0-110%
  • 1-210%
  • 0-29%
  • 1-06%

Preston North End form

LLDLL
  • Lvs Sheffield United2-32026-11-03
  • Lat Stoke City0-22026-10-31
  • Dvs West Bromwich Albion1-12026-10-24
  • Lat Wrexham1-42026-10-17
  • Lat Birmingham City0-42026-10-13

Southampton form

WDWWD
  • Dat West Bromwich Albion1-12026-11-03
  • Wvs Queens Park Rangers4-12026-10-31
  • Wat West Ham United3-22026-10-24
  • Dvs Bolton Wanderers0-02026-10-17
  • Wat Norwich City1-02026-10-14

Head to head

  • 2026-05-02Preston North End 1-3 Southampton
  • 2025-11-01Southampton 0-2 Preston North End
  • 2024-04-16Southampton 3-0 Preston North End
  • 2023-10-25Preston North End 2-2 Southampton

Prediction made 2026-11-07 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.