Updated 07:17 UTCTrack record

Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers prediction

England · Championship · 31 October 2026

Southampton4th · 21 pts
Sat 31 Oct
Queens Park Rangers9th · 17 pts
SouthamptonDrawQueens Park Rangers
Our predictionSouthampton to winStrong pick
63%Probability
1.58Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.92-1.05Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Southampton63%1.58
  • Draw20%4.95
  • Queens Park Rangers16%6.09

Double chance

  • Southampton or draw84%1.20
  • Southampton or Queens Park Rangers80%1.25
  • Draw or Queens Park Rangers37%2.73

Goals

  • Over 2.557%1.75
  • Under 2.543%2.33

Both teams to score

  • Yes55%1.81
  • No45%2.24

Match in numbers

This season, Southampton at home and Queens Park Rangers away

Southampton (home)Queens Park Rangers (away)
Matches66
Points per game2.671.50
Goals scored per game2.671.17
Goals conceded per game0.671.17
Shots on target per game4.3-
Shots on target conceded3.5-
Clean sheets33%17%
Over 2.5 goals67%50%
Both teams scored67%67%
  • Southampton have kept 3 clean sheets in a row.
  • Southampton: 4th in the table; the model rates their attack 4th and their defence 6th in the league.
  • Queens Park Rangers: 9th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 18th in the league.

Match preview

Southampton go in as strong favourites: 63% to win, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Queens Park Rangers.

At home this season Southampton average 2.67 points and 2.7 goals per game, conceding 0.7. Away from home Queens Park Rangers take 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2.

Current runs: Southampton have kept 3 clean sheets in a row.

Queens Park Rangers are 9th in the table while the model ranks them only 15th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 1.92 goals from Southampton and 1.05 from Queens Park Rangers; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 57% and both teams to score 55%.

Southampton won all 4 of the last league meetings between the two.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-110%
  • 2-09%
  • 3-16%

Southampton form

WLWWD
  • Dvs Bolton Wanderers0-02026-10-17
  • Wat Norwich City1-02026-10-14
  • Wvs Portsmouth1-02026-10-11
  • Lat Wrexham1-22026-09-19
  • Wvs Bristol City4-12026-09-12

Queens Park Rangers form

DDDWL
  • Lat Birmingham City0-32026-10-17
  • Wvs Derby County4-12026-10-14
  • Dat West Ham United1-12026-10-09
  • Dvs Preston North End2-22026-09-19
  • Dat West Bromwich Albion1-12026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2026-02-24Southampton 5-0 Queens Park Rangers
  • 2025-11-05Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Southampton
  • 2023-12-23Queens Park Rangers 0-1 Southampton
  • 2023-08-26Southampton 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

More Championship predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.