Burnley predictions
Model probabilities for the next Burnley match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.
No scheduled matches in the next eight days.
Past Burnley predictions
Full history ›Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 4.
Cardiff City
Burnley
Queens Park Rangers
Portsmouth
Lincoln CityBurnley in the backtest
July 2023 to October 2026
We ran the current model over Burnley league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.
| Season (July to June) | Matches | Right result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 10 | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| 2025-26 | 38 | 23 of 38 (61%) |
| 2024-25 | 46 | 25 of 46 (54%) |
| 2023-24 | 38 | 24 of 38 (63%) |
Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.
Burnley this season
League matches in our data
| All | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 7 | 8 |
| Points per game | 0.67 | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.47 | 1.14 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.07 | 1.43 | 2.62 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.5 | 3.5 | 5.3 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.2 | 3.2 | 6.9 |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 14% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 57% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 87% | 86% | 88% |
- Burnley have gone 6 league matches without a win.
- The model rates their attack 9th and their defence 19th in the league.
Burnley form
- Lat Cardiff City4-52026-11-07
- Dat Queens Park Rangers1-12026-11-03
- Dvs Portsmouth0-02026-10-31
- Lat Lincoln City1-42026-10-24
- Lvs Wolverhampton Wanderers1-22026-10-16
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.