Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Queens Park Rangers49%2.05
- Draw25%4.03
- Burnley26%3.77
Double chance
- Queens Park Rangers or draw74%1.36
- Queens Park Rangers or Burnley75%1.33
- Draw or Burnley51%1.95
Goals
- Over 2.555%1.83
- Under 2.545%2.20
Both teams to score
- Yes57%1.75
- No43%2.33
Match in numbers
This season, Queens Park Rangers at home and Burnley away
| Queens Park Rangers (home) | Burnley (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Points per game | 1.83 | 0.67 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.17 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.83 | 2.50 |
| Shots on target per game | - | 4.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | - | 6.2 |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 83% |
- Queens Park Rangers: 9th in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 16th in the league.
- Burnley: 22nd in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 19th in the league.
- Our predictions for Queens Park Rangers matches: 3 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Burnley matches: 1 of 4 correct.
Match preview
Queens Park Rangers have the edge at 49%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Burnley at 26%.
At home this season Queens Park Rangers average 1.83 points and 2.2 goals per game, conceding 0.8. Away from home Burnley take 0.67 points per game, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.5.
Burnley sit 22nd in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 11th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
Expected goals from the model: Queens Park Rangers 1.59, Burnley 1.27. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 55%.
In their last 4 league meetings Queens Park Rangers won 1, Burnley won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-09%
- 2-19%
- 0-17%
- 1-27%
Queens Park Rangers form
- Lat Southampton1-42026-10-31
- Wvs Swansea City5-02026-10-24
- Lat Birmingham City0-32026-10-17
- Wvs Derby County4-12026-10-14
- Dat West Ham United1-12026-10-09
Burnley form
- Dvs Portsmouth0-02026-10-31
- Lat Lincoln City1-42026-10-24
- Lvs Wolverhampton Wanderers1-22026-10-16
- Dvs Charlton Athletic2-22026-10-13
- Wat Watford4-02026-10-10
Head to head
- 2025-04-26Queens Park Rangers 0-5 Burnley
- 2024-10-26Burnley 0-0 Queens Park Rangers
- 2023-04-22Burnley 1-2 Queens Park Rangers
- 2022-12-11Queens Park Rangers 0-3 Burnley
Prediction made 2026-11-03 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.