Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

São Paulo predictions

Model probabilities for the next São Paulo match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.

12thin the Brasileirão Série A table
19points from 16 matches
5-4-7won, drawn, lost
16-19goals for and against

No scheduled matches in the next eight days.

Past São Paulo predictions

Full history ›

Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 3.

São Paulo in the backtest

July 2023 to October 2026

We ran the current model over São Paulo league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.

55.7%right result in 73 of 131 São Paulo matches
42 of 79São Paulo wins when the model favoured them
9 of 52São Paulo wins when the model favoured the opponent
Season (July to June)MatchesRight result
2026-27138 of 13 (62%)
2025-264429 of 44 (66%)
2024-253618 of 36 (50%)
2023-243818 of 38 (47%)

Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.

São Paulo this season

League matches in our data

AllHomeAway
Matches1697
Points per game1.191.890.29
Goals scored per game1.001.220.71
Goals conceded per game1.190.781.71
Shots on target per game4.34.93.6
Shots on target conceded3.72.25.6
Clean sheets25%44%0%
Over 2.5 goals38%44%29%
Both teams scored56%56%57%
  • The model rates their attack 16th and their defence 3rd in the league.

São Paulo form

WWDLD
  • Dvs Corinthians0-02026-11-05
  • Lat Bahia2-32026-10-29
  • Dat Mirassol1-12026-10-24
  • Wvs Vasco da Gama1-02026-10-18
  • Wvs Vitória2-12026-10-11

Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.