Bahia vs São Paulo prediction
Bahia7th · 23 pts
São Paulo10th · 17 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Bahia48%2.06
- Draw27%3.68
- São Paulo24%4.11
Double chance
- Bahia or draw76%1.32
- Bahia or São Paulo73%1.37
- Draw or São Paulo52%1.94
Goals
- Over 2.542%2.41
- Under 2.558%1.71
Both teams to score
- Yes46%2.15
- No54%1.87
Match preview
Bahia have the edge at 48%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 27% and a win for São Paulo at 24%.
Expected goals from the model: Bahia 1.35, São Paulo 1.00. The single most likely score is 1-0 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 42%.
Bahia have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LWLLW).
São Paulo have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WWLLW).
In the table Bahia are 7th with 23 points and São Paulo 10th with 17.
In their last 5 league meetings Bahia won 1, São Paulo won 3 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-013%
- 1-113%
- 0-110%
- 0-09%
- 2-09%
Bahia form
- Lvs Flamengo0-32026-10-18
- Wvs Mirassol1-02026-10-11
- Lat Palmeiras0-12026-10-09
- Lat Athletico Paranaense1-22026-09-20
- Wvs Remo2-12026-09-14
São Paulo form
- Wvs Vasco da Gama1-02026-10-18
- Wvs Vitória2-12026-10-11
- Lat Cruzeiro0-22026-10-08
- Lvs Santos1-22026-10-02
- Wvs Internacional1-02026-09-20
Head to head
- 2026-05-03São Paulo 2-2 Bahia
- 2025-10-26São Paulo 2-0 Bahia
- 2025-05-31Bahia 2-1 São Paulo
- 2024-11-06Bahia 0-3 São Paulo
- 2024-06-30São Paulo 3-1 Bahia
More Brasileirão Série A predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.