Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians prediction
Vasco da Gama12th · 15 pts
Corinthians18th · 9 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Vasco da Gama50%1.98
- Draw27%3.69
- Corinthians22%4.46
Double chance
- Vasco da Gama or draw78%1.29
- Vasco da Gama or Corinthians73%1.37
- Draw or Corinthians50%2.02
Goals
- Over 2.543%2.35
- Under 2.557%1.74
Both teams to score
- Yes46%2.16
- No54%1.86
Match preview
Vasco da Gama have the edge at 50%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 27% and a win for Corinthians at 22%.
Expected goals from the model: Vasco da Gama 1.45, Corinthians 0.94. The single most likely score is 1-0 (14%), and the chance of three or more goals is 43%.
Vasco da Gama have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LDWWW).
Corinthians have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (DLLLL).
In the table Vasco da Gama are 12th with 15 points and Corinthians 18th with 9.
In their last 5 league meetings Vasco da Gama won 1, Corinthians won 4 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-014%
- 1-112%
- 2-010%
- 2-19%
- 0-09%
Vasco da Gama form
- Lat São Paulo0-12026-10-18
- Dvs Remo0-02026-10-10
- Wat Botafogo2-12026-10-07
- Wvs Coritiba5-02026-09-19
- Wat Grêmio2-12026-09-12
Corinthians form
- Dvs Vitória1-12026-10-19
- Lat Palmeiras1-42026-10-11
- Lat Internacional1-22026-10-07
- Lvs Fluminense1-32026-09-20
- Lat Flamengo1-22026-09-13
Head to head
- 2026-04-26Corinthians 1-0 Vasco da Gama
- 2025-08-24Vasco da Gama 2-3 Corinthians
- 2025-04-05Corinthians 3-0 Vasco da Gama
- 2024-11-24Corinthians 3-1 Vasco da Gama
- 2024-07-10Vasco da Gama 2-0 Corinthians
More Brasileirão Série A predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.