Vitória vs Athletico Paranaense prediction
Vitória13th · 15 pts
Athletico Paranaense6th · 23 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Vitória32%3.13
- Draw28%3.61
- Athletico Paranaense40%2.48
Double chance
- Vitória or draw60%1.68
- Vitória or Athletico Paranaense72%1.38
- Draw or Athletico Paranaense68%1.47
Goals
- Over 2.550%2.02
- Under 2.550%1.98
Both teams to score
- Yes54%1.86
- No46%2.16
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Vitória 32%, draw 28%, Athletico Paranaense 40%.
Expected goals from the model: Vitória 1.26, Athletico Paranaense 1.40. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 50%.
Vitória have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DLWLD).
Athletico Paranaense have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LWDWD).
In the table Vitória are 13th with 15 points and Athletico Paranaense 6th with 23.
In their last 3 league meetings Vitória won 1, Athletico Paranaense won 2 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-110%
- 1-09%
- 1-29%
- 2-18%
Vitória form
- Dat Corinthians1-12026-10-19
- Lat São Paulo1-22026-10-11
- Wvs Chapecoense4-02026-10-07
- Lvs Cruzeiro1-32026-09-20
- Dat Mirassol2-22026-09-13
Athletico Paranaense form
- Lvs Palmeiras0-22026-10-17
- Wat Chapecoense4-12026-10-12
- Dvs Atlético Mineiro2-22026-10-08
- Wvs Bahia2-12026-09-20
- Dat Coritiba3-32026-09-12
Head to head
- 2026-04-26Athletico Paranaense 3-1 Vitória
- 2024-11-02Athletico Paranaense 1-2 Vitória
- 2024-06-30Vitória 0-1 Athletico Paranaense
More Brasileirão Série A predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.