Mirassol vs São Paulo prediction

Brazil · Brasileirão Série A · 24 October 2026

Mirassol9th · 20 pts
Sat 24 Oct
São Paulo10th · 17 pts
MirassolDrawSão Paulo
Our predictionMirassol to winLean
48%Probability
2.08Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.32-0.92Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Mirassol48%2.08
  • Draw28%3.56
  • São Paulo24%4.21

Double chance

  • Mirassol or draw76%1.31
  • Mirassol or São Paulo72%1.39
  • Draw or São Paulo52%1.93

Goals

  • Over 2.539%2.59
  • Under 2.561%1.63

Both teams to score

  • Yes44%2.29
  • No56%1.78

Match preview

Mirassol have the edge at 48%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 28% and a win for São Paulo at 24%.

Expected goals from the model: Mirassol 1.32, São Paulo 0.92. The single most likely score is 1-0 (14%), and the chance of three or more goals is 39%.

Mirassol have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLDWD).

São Paulo have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WWLLW).

In the table Mirassol are 9th with 20 points and São Paulo 10th with 17.

In their last 3 league meetings Mirassol won 2, São Paulo won 1 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-014%
  • 1-113%
  • 0-010%
  • 0-110%
  • 2-09%

Mirassol form

DWDLW
  • Wvs Internacional2-02026-10-16
  • Lat Bahia0-12026-10-11
  • Dat Red Bull Bragantino1-12026-10-07
  • Wvs Botafogo2-02026-09-19
  • Dvs Vitória2-22026-09-13

São Paulo form

WLLWW
  • Wvs Vasco da Gama1-02026-10-18
  • Wvs Vitória2-12026-10-11
  • Lat Cruzeiro0-22026-10-08
  • Lvs Santos1-22026-10-02
  • Wvs Internacional1-02026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2026-04-26São Paulo 1-0 Mirassol
  • 2025-10-19Mirassol 3-0 São Paulo
  • 2025-05-24São Paulo 0-2 Mirassol

More Brasileirão Série A predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.