Chapecoense vs Fluminense prediction
Chapecoense19th · 9 pts
Fluminense8th · 20 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Chapecoense18%5.45
- Draw21%4.70
- Fluminense60%1.66
Double chance
- Chapecoense or draw40%2.52
- Chapecoense or Fluminense79%1.27
- Draw or Fluminense82%1.22
Goals
- Over 2.552%1.91
- Under 2.548%2.10
Both teams to score
- Yes53%1.87
- No47%2.15
Match preview
The model makes Fluminense clear favourites, with a 60% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 21% and a win for Chapecoense at 18%.
Expected goals from the model: Chapecoense 1.07, Fluminense 1.70. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 52%.
Chapecoense have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LLLDL).
Fluminense have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLWWL).
In the table Chapecoense are 19th with 9 points and Fluminense 8th with 20.
In their last 3 league meetings Chapecoense won 0, Fluminense won 3 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 0-111%
- 1-210%
- 0-29%
- 1-07%
Chapecoense form
- Lat Botafogo0-12026-10-17
- Lvs Athletico Paranaense1-42026-10-12
- Lat Vitória0-42026-10-07
- Dat Atlético Mineiro1-12026-09-19
- Lvs Internacional1-22026-09-12
Fluminense form
- Lvs Santos1-22026-10-18
- Lat Flamengo0-12026-10-11
- Wvs Coritiba4-02026-10-09
- Wat Corinthians3-12026-09-20
- Lat Atlético Mineiro1-32026-09-12
Head to head
- 2026-04-26Fluminense 2-1 Chapecoense
- 2021-12-10Fluminense 3-0 Chapecoense
- 2021-09-08Chapecoense 1-2 Fluminense
More Brasileirão Série A predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.