Palmeiras vs Red Bull Bragantino prediction

Brazil · Brasileirão Série A · 24 October 2026

Palmeiras4th · 25 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Red Bull Bragantino15th · 12 pts
PalmeirasDrawRed Bull Bragantino
Our predictionPalmeiras to winStrong pick
68%Probability
1.47Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.88-0.90Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Palmeiras68%1.47
  • Draw19%5.27
  • Red Bull Bragantino13%7.58

Double chance

  • Palmeiras or draw87%1.15
  • Palmeiras or Red Bull Bragantino81%1.23
  • Draw or Red Bull Bragantino32%3.11

Goals

  • Over 2.553%1.90
  • Under 2.547%2.11

Both teams to score

  • Yes50%1.99
  • No50%2.01

Match preview

The model makes Palmeiras clear favourites, with a 68% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 19% and a win for Red Bull Bragantino at 13%.

Expected goals from the model: Palmeiras 1.88, Red Bull Bragantino 0.90. The single most likely score is 1-0 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 53%.

Palmeiras have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWDW).

Red Bull Bragantino have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DWDLL).

In the table Palmeiras are 4th with 25 points and Red Bull Bragantino 15th with 12.

In their last 5 league meetings Palmeiras won 4, Red Bull Bragantino won 0 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-012%
  • 2-011%
  • 1-110%
  • 2-110%
  • 3-07%

Palmeiras form

WDWWW
  • Wat Athletico Paranaense2-02026-10-17
  • Wvs Corinthians4-12026-10-11
  • Wvs Bahia1-02026-10-09
  • Dat Grêmio0-02026-09-20
  • Wvs São Paulo2-02026-09-12

Red Bull Bragantino form

LLDWD
  • Dat Remo1-12026-10-18
  • Wvs Cruzeiro4-22026-10-13
  • Dvs Mirassol1-12026-10-07
  • Lat Atlético Mineiro0-12026-10-03
  • Lat Flamengo1-22026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2026-04-26Red Bull Bragantino 0-1 Palmeiras
  • 2025-10-15Palmeiras 5-1 Red Bull Bragantino
  • 2025-05-18Red Bull Bragantino 1-2 Palmeiras
  • 2024-10-05Red Bull Bragantino 0-0 Palmeiras
  • 2024-06-21Palmeiras 2-1 Red Bull Bragantino

More Brasileirão Série A predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.