Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Real Madrid predictions

Model probabilities for the next Real Madrid match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.

2ndin the La Liga table
30points from 12 matches
10-0-2won, drawn, lost
31-10goals for and against

No scheduled matches in the next eight days.

Past Real Madrid predictions

Full history ›

Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 3.

Real Madrid in the backtest

July 2023 to October 2026

We ran the current model over Real Madrid league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.

73.3%right result in 88 of 120 Real Madrid matches
85 of 116Real Madrid wins when the model favoured them
1 of 4Real Madrid wins when the model favoured the opponent
Season (July to June)MatchesRight result
2026-2786 of 8
2025-263727 of 37 (73%)
2024-253827 of 38 (71%)
2023-243728 of 37 (76%)

Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.

Real Madrid this season

League matches in our data

AllHomeAway
Matches1257
Points per game2.503.002.14
Goals scored per game2.583.402.00
Goals conceded per game0.830.601.00
Shots on target per game7.38.46.6
Shots on target conceded4.14.04.1
Clean sheets33%40%29%
Over 2.5 goals83%80%86%
Both teams scored58%60%57%
  • Real Madrid have won their last 5 league matches.
  • The model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 1st in the league.

Real Madrid form

WWWWW
  • Wat Valencia3-02026-11-07
  • Wat Racing de Santander3-02026-11-01
  • Wat Barcelona2-12026-10-25
  • Wvs Sevilla4-12026-10-18
  • Wvs Villarreal1-02026-10-10

Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.