Updated 07:17 UTCTrack record

Racing de Santander vs Real Madrid prediction

Spain · La Liga · 01 November 2026

Racing de Santander17th · 8 pts
Sun 01 Nov
Real Madrid3rd · 21 pts
Racing de SantanderDrawReal Madrid
Our predictionReal Madrid to winStrong pick
69%Probability
1.45Fair odds
1-2Likely score
1.39-2.79Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Racing de Santander15%6.46
  • Draw15%6.49
  • Real Madrid69%1.45

Double chance

  • Racing de Santander or draw31%3.24
  • Racing de Santander or Real Madrid85%1.18
  • Draw or Real Madrid85%1.18

Goals

  • Over 2.579%1.27
  • Under 2.521%4.66

Both teams to score

  • Yes70%1.42
  • No30%3.36

Match in numbers

This season, Racing de Santander at home and Real Madrid away

Racing de Santander (home)Real Madrid (away)
Matches44
Points per game2.001.50
Goals scored per game2.251.50
Goals conceded per game1.751.50
Shots on target per game6.05.8
Shots on target conceded6.05.0
Clean sheets0%0%
Over 2.5 goals100%75%
Both teams scored100%75%
  • Racing de Santander: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 20th in the league.
  • Real Madrid: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 2nd in the league.

Match preview

On the numbers this is Real Madrid's match to lose. The model gives them 69%, with the draw at 15% and Racing de Santander at 15%.

At home this season Racing de Santander average 2.00 points and 2.2 goals per game, conceding 1.8. Away from home Real Madrid take 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 6.0 per game for Racing de Santander at home and 5.8 for Real Madrid on the road.

The model expects 1.39 goals from Racing de Santander and 2.79 from Real Madrid; 1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 8%, over 2.5 goals 79% and both teams to score 70%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-28%
  • 1-38%
  • 0-26%
  • 1-16%
  • 2-26%

Racing de Santander form

WLLDL
  • Lat Osasuna0-22026-10-18
  • Dvs Valencia2-22026-10-11
  • Lat Celta Vigo0-52026-09-19
  • Lat Barcelona2-72026-09-16
  • Wvs Alavés2-12026-09-12

Real Madrid form

WWLWW
  • Wvs Sevilla4-12026-10-18
  • Wvs Villarreal1-02026-10-10
  • Lat Atletico Madrid1-22026-09-20
  • Wat Elche3-22026-09-15
  • Wvs Rayo Vallecano4-12026-09-12

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.