Athletic Club vs Getafe prediction

Spain · La Liga · 25 October 2026

Athletic Club13th · 9 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Getafe15th · 9 pts
Athletic ClubDrawGetafe
Our predictionAthletic Club to winLean
53%Probability
1.90Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.32-0.66Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Athletic Club53%1.90
  • Draw29%3.46
  • Getafe18%5.41

Double chance

  • Athletic Club or draw82%1.23
  • Athletic Club or Getafe71%1.41
  • Draw or Getafe47%2.11

Goals

  • Over 2.532%3.13
  • Under 2.568%1.47

Both teams to score

  • Yes35%2.83
  • No65%1.55

Match preview

Athletic Club have the edge at 53%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 29% and a win for Getafe at 18%.

Expected goals from the model: Athletic Club 1.32, Getafe 0.66. The single most likely score is 1-0 (18%), and the chance of three or more goals is 32%.

Athletic Club have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LDDDW).

Getafe have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DLWLD).

In the table Athletic Club are 13th with 9 points and Getafe 15th with 9.

In their last 5 league meetings Athletic Club won 2, Getafe won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-018%
  • 0-013%
  • 2-012%
  • 1-112%
  • 0-19%

Athletic Club form

WDDDL
  • Lat Levante1-32026-10-21
  • Dat Valencia0-02026-10-17
  • Dvs Alavés0-02026-09-19
  • Dvs Elche1-12026-09-12
  • Wvs Atletico Madrid3-02026-09-05

Getafe form

DLWLD
  • Dvs Rayo Vallecano1-12026-10-19
  • Lat Barcelona0-32026-10-10
  • Wvs Málaga1-02026-09-20
  • Lat Real Betis0-12026-09-17
  • Dvs Deportivo de La Coruña1-12026-09-13

Head to head

  • 2026-04-05Getafe 2-0 Athletic Club
  • 2025-10-25Athletic Club 0-1 Getafe
  • 2025-05-15Getafe 0-2 Athletic Club
  • 2024-08-15Athletic Club 1-1 Getafe
  • 2024-05-03Getafe 0-2 Athletic Club

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.