Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo de La Coruña prediction

Spain · La Liga · 24 October 2026

Atletico Madrid2nd · 22 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Deportivo de La Coruña9th · 11 pts
Atletico MadridDrawDeportivo de La Coruña
Our predictionAtletico Madrid to winStrong pick
69%Probability
1.45Fair odds
2-0Likely score
2.08-0.90Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Atletico Madrid69%1.45
  • Draw19%5.35
  • Deportivo de La Coruña12%8.03

Double chance

  • Atletico Madrid or draw88%1.14
  • Atletico Madrid or Deportivo de La Coruña81%1.23
  • Draw or Deportivo de La Coruña31%3.21

Goals

  • Over 2.557%1.75
  • Under 2.543%2.34

Both teams to score

  • Yes52%1.93
  • No48%2.07

Match preview

The model makes Atletico Madrid clear favourites, with a 69% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 19% and a win for Deportivo de La Coruña at 12%.

Expected goals from the model: Atletico Madrid 2.08, Deportivo de La Coruña 0.90. The single most likely score is 2-0 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.

Atletico Madrid have won 5 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWWW).

Deportivo de La Coruña have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DLDLD).

In the table Atletico Madrid are 2nd with 22 points and Deportivo de La Coruña 9th with 11.

Most likely scores

  • 2-011%
  • 1-011%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-19%
  • 3-08%

Atletico Madrid form

WWWWW
  • Wat Espanyol1-02026-10-17
  • Wat Alavés2-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Real Madrid2-12026-09-20
  • Wvs Osasuna4-02026-09-16
  • Wat Real Sociedad3-02026-09-13

Deportivo de La Coruña form

DLDLD
  • Dvs Levante1-12026-10-16
  • Lat Real Sociedad2-32026-10-11
  • Dvs Real Betis1-12026-09-20
  • Lvs Sevilla0-12026-09-16
  • Dat Getafe1-12026-09-13

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.