Rayo Vallecano vs Elche prediction
Rayo Vallecano14th · 9 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Rayo Vallecano56%1.80
- Draw24%4.20
- Elche21%4.85
Double chance
- Rayo Vallecano or draw79%1.26
- Rayo Vallecano or Elche76%1.31
- Draw or Elche44%2.25
Goals
- Over 2.553%1.89
- Under 2.547%2.12
Both teams to score
- Yes54%1.86
- No46%2.16
Match preview
Rayo Vallecano have the edge at 56%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Elche at 21%.
Expected goals from the model: Rayo Vallecano 1.72, Elche 1.07. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 53%.
Rayo Vallecano have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDWLW).
Elche have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDWLD).
In the table Rayo Vallecano are 14th with 9 points and Elche 18th with 7.
In their last 5 league meetings Rayo Vallecano won 2, Elche won 3 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-011%
- 2-110%
- 2-09%
- 0-17%
Rayo Vallecano form
- Dat Getafe1-12026-10-19
- Dat Osasuna1-12026-09-19
- Wvs Espanyol2-12026-09-15
- Lat Real Madrid1-42026-09-12
- Wvs Racing de Santander3-22026-09-05
Elche form
- Dat Villarreal0-02026-10-17
- Dvs Celta Vigo0-02026-10-11
- Wat Espanyol3-12026-09-18
- Lvs Real Madrid2-32026-09-15
- Dat Athletic Club1-12026-09-12
Head to head
- 2026-04-03Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Elche
- 2025-12-21Elche 4-0 Rayo Vallecano
- 2023-04-29Elche 4-0 Rayo Vallecano
- 2022-10-03Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Elche
- 2022-02-18Elche 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
More La Liga predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.