Rayo Vallecano vs Elche prediction

Spain · La Liga · 24 October 2026

Rayo Vallecano14th · 9 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Elche18th · 7 pts
Rayo VallecanoDrawElche
Our predictionRayo Vallecano to winLean
56%Probability
1.80Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.72-1.07Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Rayo Vallecano56%1.80
  • Draw24%4.20
  • Elche21%4.85

Double chance

  • Rayo Vallecano or draw79%1.26
  • Rayo Vallecano or Elche76%1.31
  • Draw or Elche44%2.25

Goals

  • Over 2.553%1.89
  • Under 2.547%2.12

Both teams to score

  • Yes54%1.86
  • No46%2.16

Match preview

Rayo Vallecano have the edge at 56%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Elche at 21%.

Expected goals from the model: Rayo Vallecano 1.72, Elche 1.07. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 53%.

Rayo Vallecano have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDWLW).

Elche have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDWLD).

In the table Rayo Vallecano are 14th with 9 points and Elche 18th with 7.

In their last 5 league meetings Rayo Vallecano won 2, Elche won 3 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-011%
  • 2-110%
  • 2-09%
  • 0-17%

Rayo Vallecano form

WLWDD
  • Dat Getafe1-12026-10-19
  • Dat Osasuna1-12026-09-19
  • Wvs Espanyol2-12026-09-15
  • Lat Real Madrid1-42026-09-12
  • Wvs Racing de Santander3-22026-09-05

Elche form

DLWDD
  • Dat Villarreal0-02026-10-17
  • Dvs Celta Vigo0-02026-10-11
  • Wat Espanyol3-12026-09-18
  • Lvs Real Madrid2-32026-09-15
  • Dat Athletic Club1-12026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2026-04-03Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Elche
  • 2025-12-21Elche 4-0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2023-04-29Elche 4-0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2022-10-03Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Elche
  • 2022-02-18Elche 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.