Valencia vs Villarreal prediction
Sat 24 Oct
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
Our predictionVillarreal to winOpen game
42%Probability
2.37Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.04-1.34Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Valencia29%3.47
- Draw29%3.45
- Villarreal42%2.37
Double chance
- Valencia or draw58%1.73
- Valencia or Villarreal71%1.41
- Draw or Villarreal71%1.40
Goals
- Over 2.543%2.35
- Under 2.557%1.74
Both teams to score
- Yes48%2.10
- No52%1.91
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Valencia 29%, draw 29%, Villarreal 42%.
Expected goals from the model: Valencia 1.04, Villarreal 1.34. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 43%.
Valencia have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DDLWL).
Villarreal have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DLWWL).
In the table Valencia are 19th with 6 points and Villarreal 12th with 9.
In their last 5 league meetings Valencia won 0, Villarreal won 3 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 0-113%
- 1-010%
- 0-09%
- 1-29%
Valencia form
LWLDD
- Dvs Athletic Club0-02026-10-17
- Dat Racing de Santander2-22026-10-11
- Lvs Real Sociedad2-32026-09-20
- Wat Alavés1-02026-09-15
- Lat Sevilla0-12026-09-11
Villarreal form
LWWLD
- Dvs Elche0-02026-10-17
- Lat Real Madrid0-12026-10-10
- Wvs Levante3-12026-09-20
- Wat Málaga3-12026-09-17
- Lvs Real Betis1-22026-09-14
Head to head
- 2026-02-22Villarreal 2-1 Valencia
- 2025-10-25Valencia 0-2 Villarreal
- 2025-02-15Villarreal 1-1 Valencia
- 2024-08-31Valencia 1-1 Villarreal
- 2024-03-17Villarreal 1-0 Valencia
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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.