Valencia vs Villarreal prediction

Spain · La Liga · 24 October 2026

Valencia19th · 6 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Villarreal12th · 9 pts
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
Our predictionVillarreal to winOpen game
42%Probability
2.37Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.04-1.34Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Valencia29%3.47
  • Draw29%3.45
  • Villarreal42%2.37

Double chance

  • Valencia or draw58%1.73
  • Valencia or Villarreal71%1.41
  • Draw or Villarreal71%1.40

Goals

  • Over 2.543%2.35
  • Under 2.557%1.74

Both teams to score

  • Yes48%2.10
  • No52%1.91

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Valencia 29%, draw 29%, Villarreal 42%.

Expected goals from the model: Valencia 1.04, Villarreal 1.34. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 43%.

Valencia have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DDLWL).

Villarreal have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DLWWL).

In the table Valencia are 19th with 6 points and Villarreal 12th with 9.

In their last 5 league meetings Valencia won 0, Villarreal won 3 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-113%
  • 0-113%
  • 1-010%
  • 0-09%
  • 1-29%

Valencia form

LWLDD
  • Dvs Athletic Club0-02026-10-17
  • Dat Racing de Santander2-22026-10-11
  • Lvs Real Sociedad2-32026-09-20
  • Wat Alavés1-02026-09-15
  • Lat Sevilla0-12026-09-11

Villarreal form

LWWLD
  • Dvs Elche0-02026-10-17
  • Lat Real Madrid0-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Levante3-12026-09-20
  • Wat Málaga3-12026-09-17
  • Lvs Real Betis1-22026-09-14

Head to head

  • 2026-02-22Villarreal 2-1 Valencia
  • 2025-10-25Valencia 0-2 Villarreal
  • 2025-02-15Villarreal 1-1 Valencia
  • 2024-08-31Valencia 1-1 Villarreal
  • 2024-03-17Villarreal 1-0 Valencia

More La Liga predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.