Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Valencia16%6.07
- Draw22%4.49
- Real Madrid61%1.63
Double chance
- Valencia or draw39%2.58
- Valencia or Real Madrid78%1.29
- Draw or Real Madrid84%1.20
Goals
- Over 2.549%2.04
- Under 2.551%1.96
Both teams to score
- Yes49%2.03
- No51%1.97
Match in numbers
This season, Valencia at home and Real Madrid away
| Valencia (home) | Real Madrid (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Points per game | 0.33 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.50 | 1.83 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.83 | 1.17 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.3 | 5.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 67% |
- Real Madrid have won their last 4 league matches.
- Valencia: 19th in the table; the model rates their attack 19th and their defence 12th in the league.
- Real Madrid: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 1st in the league.
- Our predictions for Valencia matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Real Madrid matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
On the numbers this is Real Madrid's match to lose. The model gives them 61%, with the draw at 22% and Valencia at 16%.
At home this season Valencia average 0.33 points and 0.5 goals per game, conceding 1.8. Away from home Real Madrid take 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.3 per game for Valencia at home and 5.8 for Real Madrid on the road.
Current runs: Real Madrid have won their last 4 league matches.
The model expects 0.92 goals from Valencia and 1.72 from Real Madrid; 0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 49% and both teams to score 49%.
In their last 5 league meetings Valencia won 1, Real Madrid won 3 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 0-112%
- 1-111%
- 0-211%
- 1-210%
- 0-07%
Valencia form
- Wat Elche1-02026-11-01
- Lvs Villarreal1-22026-10-24
- Dvs Athletic Club0-02026-10-17
- Dat Racing de Santander2-22026-10-11
- Lvs Real Sociedad2-32026-09-20
Real Madrid form
- Wat Racing de Santander3-02026-11-01
- Wat Barcelona2-12026-10-25
- Wvs Sevilla4-12026-10-18
- Wvs Villarreal1-02026-10-10
- Lat Atletico Madrid1-22026-09-20
Head to head
- 2026-02-08Valencia 0-2 Real Madrid
- 2025-11-01Real Madrid 4-0 Valencia
- 2025-04-05Real Madrid 1-2 Valencia
- 2025-01-03Valencia 1-2 Real Madrid
- 2024-03-02Valencia 2-2 Real Madrid
Prediction made 2026-11-07 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.