Nacional predictions
Model probabilities for the next Nacional match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.
No scheduled matches in the next eight days.
Past Nacional predictions
Full history ›Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 3.
Nacional
Académico de Viseu
Arouca
Sporting BragaNacional in the backtest
July 2023 to October 2026
We ran the current model over Nacional league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.
| Season (July to June) | Matches | Right result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 8 | 5 of 8 |
| 2025-26 | 34 | 22 of 34 (65%) |
| 2024-25 | 33 | 19 of 33 (58%) |
Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.
Nacional this season
League matches in our data
| All | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 6 | 5 |
| Points per game | 0.91 | 1.50 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.00 | 1.17 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.73 | 1.67 | 1.80 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.0 | 3.6 | 2.4 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.7 | 5.0 | 6.4 |
| Clean sheets | 27% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 33% | 40% |
- The model rates their attack 12th and their defence 13th in the league.
Nacional form
- Wvs Académico de Viseu1-02026-11-08
- Lat Arouca0-12026-11-01
- Wvs Sporting Braga1-02026-10-25
- Lat Rio Ave2-32026-10-11
- Lvs Famalicão0-42026-09-19
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.