Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Nacional vs Académico de Viseu prediction

Portugal · Primeira Liga · 08 November 2026

Nacional16th · 7 pts
1 - 0Full time
Académico de Viseu6th · 20 pts
NacionalDrawAcadémico de Viseu
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Académico de Viseu to win (42%)
Our predictionAcadémico de Viseu to winOpen game
42%Probability
2.40Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.36-1.40Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Nacional32%3.14
  • Draw27%3.77
  • Académico de Viseu42%2.40

Double chance

  • Nacional or draw58%1.71
  • Nacional or Académico de Viseu73%1.36
  • Draw or Académico de Viseu68%1.47

Goals

  • Over 2.552%1.92
  • Under 2.548%2.09

Both teams to score

  • Yes56%1.79
  • No44%2.26

Match in numbers

This season, Nacional at home and Académico de Viseu away

Nacional (home)Académico de Viseu (away)
Matches55
Points per game1.202.20
Goals scored per game1.201.80
Goals conceded per game2.001.00
Shots on target per game3.63.8
Shots on target conceded5.05.6
Clean sheets40%40%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%
Both teams scored40%60%
  • Académico de Viseu have won their last 6 league matches.
  • Nacional: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 13th in the league.
  • Académico de Viseu: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 11th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Nacional matches: 1 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Académico de Viseu matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Nacional 32%, draw 27%, Académico de Viseu 42%.

At home this season Nacional average 1.20 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 2.0. Away from home Académico de Viseu take 2.20 points per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Nacional manage 3.6 per home game and Académico de Viseu 3.8 per away game.

Form lines: Académico de Viseu have won their last 6 league matches.

Académico de Viseu are 6th in the table while the model ranks them only 12th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Nacional 1.36, Académico de Viseu 1.40. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 52%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 0-19%
  • 1-09%
  • 1-28%
  • 2-18%

Nacional form

LLLWL
  • Lat Arouca0-12026-11-01
  • Wvs Sporting Braga1-02026-10-25
  • Lat Rio Ave2-32026-10-11
  • Lvs Famalicão0-42026-09-19
  • Lvs Alverca1-32026-09-12

Académico de Viseu form

WWWWW
  • Wvs Rio Ave2-12026-11-01
  • Wat Sporting CP2-12026-10-25
  • Wvs Estoril2-12026-10-10
  • Wat Estrela2-02026-09-20
  • Wvs Vitória Guimarães2-12026-09-12

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

Prediction made 2026-11-08 15:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.