Manchester United predictions
Model probabilities for the next Manchester United match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.
No scheduled matches in the next eight days.
Past Manchester United predictions
Full history ›Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 3.
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Chelsea
AFC BournemouthManchester United in the backtest
July 2023 to October 2026
We ran the current model over Manchester United league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.
| Season (July to June) | Matches | Right result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 6 | 2 of 6 |
| 2025-26 | 38 | 16 of 38 (42%) |
| 2024-25 | 38 | 16 of 38 (42%) |
| 2023-24 | 38 | 24 of 38 (63%) |
Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.
Manchester United this season
League matches in our data
| All | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.40 | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.90 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.0 | 5.8 | 4.4 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.0 | 3.5 | 6.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% | 60% |
- Manchester United have gone 8 league matches without a win.
- The model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 14th in the league.
Manchester United form
- Dvs Aston Villa4-42026-11-08
- Lat Chelsea0-22026-10-31
- Lvs AFC Bournemouth0-32026-10-25
- Dat Leeds United1-12026-10-18
- Dvs Tottenham Hotspur1-12026-10-10
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.