Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 40% for Chelsea, 25% for the draw and 36% for Manchester United.

At home this season Chelsea average 2.33 points and 3.7 goals per game, conceding 2.0. Away from home Manchester United take 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 6.3 per game for Chelsea at home and 4.2 for Manchester United on the road.

Current runs: Manchester United have gone 5 league matches without a win.

Manchester United sit 13th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 4th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.69 goals from Chelsea and 1.63 from Manchester United; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 64% and both teams to score 65%.

In their last 5 league meetings Chelsea won 2, Manchester United won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

• 1-110%
• 2-18%
• 1-28%
• 2-27%
• 1-06%

Chelsea form

• Wat Everton2-02026-10-17
• Wvs AFC Bournemouth5-12026-10-10
• Lat Brentford0-32026-09-18
• Dvs Hull City2-22026-09-12
• Lat Arsenal1-22026-09-06

Manchester United form

• Dat Leeds United1-12026-10-18
• Dvs Tottenham Hotspur1-12026-10-10
• Dat Fulham1-12026-09-20
• Lvs Manchester City0-12026-09-13
• Dat Everton2-22026-09-06