Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United prediction

England · Premier League · 25 October 2026

Crystal Palace14th · 7 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Newcastle United11th · 8 pts
Crystal PalaceDrawNewcastle United
Our predictionCrystal Palace to winOpen game
41%Probability
2.46Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.53-1.43Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Crystal Palace41%2.46
  • Draw26%3.82
  • Newcastle United33%3.01

Double chance

  • Crystal Palace or draw67%1.50
  • Crystal Palace or Newcastle United74%1.36
  • Draw or Newcastle United59%1.68

Goals

  • Over 2.557%1.77
  • Under 2.543%2.31

Both teams to score

  • Yes59%1.69
  • No41%2.46

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Crystal Palace 41%, draw 26%, Newcastle United 33%.

Expected goals from the model: Crystal Palace 1.53, Newcastle United 1.43. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.

Crystal Palace have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWDLW).

Newcastle United have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLWLD).

In the table Crystal Palace are 14th with 7 points and Newcastle United 11th with 8.

In their last 5 league meetings Crystal Palace won 2, Newcastle United won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-08%
  • 1-28%
  • 0-18%

Crystal Palace form

WLDWL
  • Lat Brighton & Hove Albion0-52026-10-18
  • Wvs Nottingham Forest3-12026-10-11
  • Dat Leeds United0-02026-09-20
  • Lvs Ipswich Town2-32026-09-12
  • Wat Fulham3-22026-09-05

Newcastle United form

DLWLL
  • Lvs Aston Villa0-12026-10-17
  • Lat Coventry City1-42026-10-12
  • Wvs Hull City2-12026-09-19
  • Lat Leeds United1-42026-09-14
  • Dvs AFC Bournemouth2-22026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2026-04-12Crystal Palace 2-1 Newcastle United
  • 2026-01-04Newcastle United 2-0 Crystal Palace
  • 2025-04-16Newcastle United 5-0 Crystal Palace
  • 2024-11-30Crystal Palace 1-1 Newcastle United
  • 2024-04-24Crystal Palace 2-0 Newcastle United

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.