Arsenal vs Everton prediction
Arsenal2nd · 18 pts
Everton8th · 10 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Arsenal70%1.43
- Draw19%5.32
- Everton11%9.00
Double chance
- Arsenal or draw89%1.13
- Arsenal or Everton81%1.23
- Draw or Everton30%3.34
Goals
- Over 2.543%2.31
- Under 2.557%1.76
Both teams to score
- Yes42%2.38
- No58%1.72
Match preview
The model makes Arsenal clear favourites, with a 70% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 19% and a win for Everton at 11%.
Expected goals from the model: Arsenal 1.67, Everton 0.73. The single most likely score is 1-0 (15%), and the chance of three or more goals is 43%.
Arsenal have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWLWW).
Everton have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LDWDD).
In the table Arsenal are 2nd with 18 points and Everton 8th with 10.
In their last 5 league meetings Arsenal won 3, Everton won 0 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-015%
- 2-013%
- 1-111%
- 2-19%
- 0-09%
Arsenal form
- Wat Nottingham Forest1-02026-10-18
- Wvs Leeds United2-12026-10-10
- Lat Brighton & Hove Albion0-32026-09-19
- Wat Sunderland2-02026-09-12
- Wvs Chelsea2-12026-09-06
Everton form
- Lvs Chelsea0-22026-10-17
- Dat Hull City2-22026-10-11
- Wvs Ipswich Town1-02026-09-19
- Dat Tottenham Hotspur0-02026-09-12
- Dvs Manchester United2-22026-09-06
Head to head
- 2026-03-14Arsenal 2-0 Everton
- 2025-12-20Everton 0-1 Arsenal
- 2025-04-05Everton 1-1 Arsenal
- 2024-12-14Arsenal 0-0 Everton
- 2024-05-19Arsenal 2-1 Everton
More Premier League predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.