Arsenal vs Everton prediction

England · Premier League · 24 October 2026

Arsenal2nd · 18 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Everton8th · 10 pts
ArsenalDrawEverton
Our predictionArsenal to winStrong pick
70%Probability
1.43Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.67-0.73Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Arsenal70%1.43
  • Draw19%5.32
  • Everton11%9.00

Double chance

  • Arsenal or draw89%1.13
  • Arsenal or Everton81%1.23
  • Draw or Everton30%3.34

Goals

  • Over 2.543%2.31
  • Under 2.557%1.76

Both teams to score

  • Yes42%2.38
  • No58%1.72

Match preview

The model makes Arsenal clear favourites, with a 70% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 19% and a win for Everton at 11%.

Expected goals from the model: Arsenal 1.67, Everton 0.73. The single most likely score is 1-0 (15%), and the chance of three or more goals is 43%.

Arsenal have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWLWW).

Everton have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LDWDD).

In the table Arsenal are 2nd with 18 points and Everton 8th with 10.

In their last 5 league meetings Arsenal won 3, Everton won 0 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-015%
  • 2-013%
  • 1-111%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-09%

Arsenal form

WWLWW
  • Wat Nottingham Forest1-02026-10-18
  • Wvs Leeds United2-12026-10-10
  • Lat Brighton & Hove Albion0-32026-09-19
  • Wat Sunderland2-02026-09-12
  • Wvs Chelsea2-12026-09-06

Everton form

DDWDL
  • Lvs Chelsea0-22026-10-17
  • Dat Hull City2-22026-10-11
  • Wvs Ipswich Town1-02026-09-19
  • Dat Tottenham Hotspur0-02026-09-12
  • Dvs Manchester United2-22026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2026-03-14Arsenal 2-0 Everton
  • 2025-12-20Everton 0-1 Arsenal
  • 2025-04-05Everton 1-1 Arsenal
  • 2024-12-14Arsenal 0-0 Everton
  • 2024-05-19Arsenal 2-1 Everton

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.