Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
Chelsea4th · 13 pts
Tottenham Hotspur16th · 6 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Chelsea57%1.75
- Draw22%4.60
- Tottenham Hotspur21%4.72
Double chance
- Chelsea or draw79%1.27
- Chelsea or Tottenham Hotspur78%1.28
- Draw or Tottenham Hotspur43%2.33
Goals
- Over 2.558%1.71
- Under 2.542%2.41
Both teams to score
- Yes59%1.70
- No41%2.43
Match preview
Chelsea have the edge at 57%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 22% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur at 21%.
Expected goals from the model: Chelsea 1.81, Tottenham Hotspur 1.23. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 58%.
Chelsea have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WWLDL).
Tottenham Hotspur have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WDLDD).
In the table Chelsea are 4th with 13 points and Tottenham Hotspur 16th with 6.
In their last 5 league meetings Chelsea won 5, Tottenham Hotspur won 0 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-110%
- 1-09%
- 2-08%
- 1-27%
Chelsea form
- Wat Everton2-02026-10-17
- Wvs AFC Bournemouth5-12026-10-10
- Lat Brentford0-32026-09-18
- Dvs Hull City2-22026-09-12
- Lat Arsenal1-22026-09-06
Tottenham Hotspur form
- Wvs Coventry City3-12026-10-19
- Dat Manchester United1-12026-10-10
- Lvs Aston Villa2-32026-09-19
- Dvs Everton0-02026-09-12
- Dat Nottingham Forest0-02026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-05-19Chelsea 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur
- 2025-11-01Tottenham Hotspur 0-1 Chelsea
- 2025-04-03Chelsea 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur
- 2024-12-08Tottenham Hotspur 3-4 Chelsea
- 2024-05-02Chelsea 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur
More Premier League predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.