Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
Manchester United13th · 7 pts
AFC Bournemouth15th · 6 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Manchester United49%2.03
- Draw24%4.09
- AFC Bournemouth26%3.81
Double chance
- Manchester United or draw74%1.36
- Manchester United or AFC Bournemouth76%1.32
- Draw or AFC Bournemouth51%1.97
Goals
- Over 2.558%1.73
- Under 2.542%2.37
Both teams to score
- Yes59%1.69
- No41%2.46
Match preview
Manchester United have the edge at 49%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for AFC Bournemouth at 26%.
Expected goals from the model: Manchester United 1.71, AFC Bournemouth 1.30. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 58%.
Manchester United have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDDLD).
AFC Bournemouth have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WLLDD).
In the table Manchester United are 13th with 7 points and AFC Bournemouth 15th with 6.
In their last 5 league meetings Manchester United won 0, AFC Bournemouth won 1 and 4 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19%
- 1-09%
- 2-07%
- 1-27%
Manchester United form
- Dat Leeds United1-12026-10-18
- Dvs Tottenham Hotspur1-12026-10-10
- Dat Fulham1-12026-09-20
- Lvs Manchester City0-12026-09-13
- Dat Everton2-22026-09-06
AFC Bournemouth form
- Wvs Sunderland2-02026-10-18
- Lat Chelsea1-52026-10-10
- Lvs Liverpool0-12026-09-20
- Dvs Brentford2-22026-09-12
- Dat Newcastle United2-22026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-03-20AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Manchester United
- 2025-12-15Manchester United 4-4 AFC Bournemouth
- 2025-04-27AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Manchester United
- 2024-12-22Manchester United 0-3 AFC Bournemouth
- 2024-04-13AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Manchester United
More Premier League predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.