Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction

Match preview

Manchester City have the edge at 53%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Aston Villa at 23%.

Expected goals from the model: Aston Villa 1.19, Manchester City 1.71. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 55%.

Aston Villa have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WDWLD).

Manchester City have won 5 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWWW).

In the table Aston Villa are 12th with 8 points and Manchester City 1st with 21.

In their last 5 league meetings Aston Villa won 3, Manchester City won 2 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

• 1-111%
• 0-110%
• 1-210%
• 0-28%
• 1-07%

Aston Villa form

• Wat Newcastle United1-02026-10-17
• Dvs Brentford2-22026-10-10
• Wat Tottenham Hotspur3-22026-09-19
• Lvs Nottingham Forest1-22026-09-12
• Dat Hull City0-02026-09-05

Manchester City form

• Wvs Ipswich Town3-22026-10-17
• Wat Liverpool3-02026-10-11
• Wvs Sunderland5-32026-09-20
• Wat Manchester United1-02026-09-13
• Wvs Coventry City1-02026-09-05