Manchester City predictions
Model probabilities for the next Manchester City match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.
No scheduled matches in the next eight days.
Past Manchester City predictions
Full history ›Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 3.
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Brighton & Hove Albion
Aston VillaManchester City in the backtest
July 2023 to October 2026
We ran the current model over Manchester City league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.
| Season (July to June) | Matches | Right result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 7 | 7 of 7 |
| 2025-26 | 38 | 22 of 38 (58%) |
| 2024-25 | 38 | 23 of 38 (61%) |
| 2023-24 | 38 | 28 of 38 (74%) |
Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.
Manchester City this season
League matches in our data
| All | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.10 | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.4 | 5.6 | 5.2 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.9 | 4.4 | 3.4 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% | 60% |
- Manchester City have lost their last 3 league matches.
- The model rates their attack 1st and their defence 2nd in the league.
Manchester City form
- Lat Nottingham Forest1-32026-11-07
- Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion0-12026-10-31
- Lat Aston Villa1-22026-10-24
- Wvs Ipswich Town3-22026-10-17
- Wat Liverpool3-02026-10-11
Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.