Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Nottingham Forest22%4.53
- Draw25%4.07
- Manchester City53%1.87
Double chance
- Nottingham Forest or draw47%2.15
- Nottingham Forest or Manchester City75%1.33
- Draw or Manchester City78%1.28
Goals
- Over 2.547%2.11
- Under 2.553%1.90
Both teams to score
- Yes51%1.97
- No49%2.03
Match in numbers
This season, Nottingham Forest at home and Manchester City away
| Nottingham Forest (home) | Manchester City (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 0.25 | 2.25 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.00 | 2.25 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Shots on target per game | 2.2 | 5.5 |
| Shots on target conceded | 1.8 | 3.0 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
- Nottingham Forest have gone 5 league matches without a win.
- Nottingham Forest: 19th in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 6th in the league.
- Manchester City: 2nd in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 2nd in the league.
- Our predictions for Nottingham Forest matches: 1 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Manchester City matches: 0 of 3 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Manchester City (53%), though Nottingham Forest win 22% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 25%.
At home this season Nottingham Forest average 0.25 points and 0.0 goals per game, conceding 0.8. Away from home Manchester City take 2.25 points per game, scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.8. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 2.2 per game for Nottingham Forest at home and 5.5 for Manchester City on the road.
Current runs: Nottingham Forest have gone 5 league matches without a win.
Nottingham Forest sit 19th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 9th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
The model expects 1.06 goals from Nottingham Forest and 1.51 from Manchester City; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 47% and both teams to score 51%.
In their last 5 league meetings Nottingham Forest won 1, Manchester City won 3 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-112%
- 1-29%
- 0-29%
- 1-08%
Nottingham Forest form
- Lat Brentford0-22026-10-31
- Dat Ipswich Town1-12026-10-23
- Lvs Arsenal0-12026-10-18
- Lat Crystal Palace1-32026-10-11
- Lvs Coventry City0-12026-09-19
Manchester City form
- Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion0-12026-10-31
- Lat Aston Villa1-22026-10-24
- Wvs Ipswich Town3-22026-10-17
- Wat Liverpool3-02026-10-11
- Wvs Sunderland5-32026-09-20
Head to head
- 2026-03-04Manchester City 2-2 Nottingham Forest
- 2025-12-27Nottingham Forest 1-2 Manchester City
- 2025-03-08Nottingham Forest 1-0 Manchester City
- 2024-12-04Manchester City 3-0 Nottingham Forest
- 2024-04-28Nottingham Forest 0-2 Manchester City
Prediction made 2026-11-07 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.