Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

Match preview

Manchester City have the edge at 56%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 22% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion at 22%.

At home this season Manchester City average 3.00 points and 2.8 goals per game, conceding 1.5. Away from home Brighton & Hove Albion take 2.00 points per game, scoring 3.3 and conceding 1.3. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Manchester City manage 5.5 per home game and Brighton & Hove Albion 5.7 per away game.

Form lines: Manchester City have won their last 7 league matches; Brighton & Hove Albion have won their last 4 league matches.

Expected goals from the model: Manchester City 1.74, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.24. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.

In their last 5 league meetings Manchester City won 1, Brighton & Hove Albion won 2 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

• 1-111%
• 2-110%
• 1-09%
• 2-08%
• 1-27%

Manchester City form

• Wvs Ipswich Town3-22026-10-17
• Wat Liverpool3-02026-10-11
• Wvs Sunderland5-32026-09-20
• Wat Manchester United1-02026-09-13
• Wvs Coventry City1-02026-09-05

Brighton & Hove Albion form

• Wvs Crystal Palace5-02026-10-18
• Wat Sunderland2-02026-10-10
• Wvs Arsenal3-02026-09-19
• Wat Coventry City5-02026-09-13
• Dvs Leeds United1-12026-09-05