Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Liverpool predictions

Model probabilities for the next Liverpool match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.

4thin the Premier League table
18points from 10 matches
5-3-2won, drawn, lost
14-10goals for and against

No scheduled matches in the next eight days.

Past Liverpool predictions

Full history ›

Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 3.

Liverpool in the backtest

July 2023 to October 2026

We ran the current model over Liverpool league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.

57.5%right result in 69 of 120 Liverpool matches
64 of 106Liverpool wins when the model favoured them
4 of 14Liverpool wins when the model favoured the opponent
Season (July to June)MatchesRight result
2026-2772 of 7
2025-263820 of 38 (53%)
2024-253723 of 37 (62%)
2023-243824 of 38 (63%)

Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.

Liverpool this season

League matches in our data

AllHomeAway
Matches1055
Points per game1.801.002.60
Goals scored per game1.400.802.00
Goals conceded per game1.001.200.80
Shots on target per game4.33.45.5
Shots on target conceded3.13.03.2
Clean sheets40%40%40%
Over 2.5 goals50%40%60%
Both teams scored40%20%60%
  • The model rates their attack 4th and their defence 4th in the league.

Liverpool form

LWWLW
  • Wat Crystal Palace3-12026-11-08
  • Lvs Arsenal0-12026-11-01
  • Wvs Brighton & Hove Albion2-02026-10-25
  • Wat Brentford2-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Manchester City0-32026-10-11

Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.