Crystal Palace vs Liverpool prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Crystal Palace25%3.94
- Draw25%3.93
- Liverpool49%2.03
Double chance
- Crystal Palace or draw51%1.97
- Crystal Palace or Liverpool75%1.34
- Draw or Liverpool75%1.34
Goals
- Over 2.553%1.90
- Under 2.547%2.11
Both teams to score
- Yes55%1.81
- No45%2.23
Match in numbers
This season, Crystal Palace at home and Liverpool away
| Crystal Palace (home) | Liverpool (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 0.75 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.50 | 0.75 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.0 | 5.5 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.8 | 3.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 50% |
- Crystal Palace have lost their last 3 league matches.
- Crystal Palace: 19th in the table; the model rates their attack 17th and their defence 19th in the league.
- Liverpool: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 4th and their defence 4th in the league.
- Our predictions for Crystal Palace matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Liverpool matches: 3 of 3 correct.
Match preview
Liverpool have the edge at 49%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Crystal Palace at 25%.
At home this season Crystal Palace average 0.75 points and 1.5 goals per game, conceding 2.5. Away from home Liverpool take 2.50 points per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Crystal Palace manage 4.0 per home game and Liverpool 5.5 per away game.
Form lines: Crystal Palace have lost their last 3 league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Crystal Palace 1.19, Liverpool 1.59. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 53%.
In their last 5 league meetings Crystal Palace won 2, Liverpool won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 0-110%
- 1-29%
- 0-28%
- 1-08%
Crystal Palace form
- Lat Tottenham Hotspur0-22026-10-31
- Lvs Newcastle United0-22026-10-25
- Lat Brighton & Hove Albion0-52026-10-18
- Wvs Nottingham Forest3-12026-10-11
- Dat Leeds United0-02026-09-20
Liverpool form
- Lvs Arsenal0-12026-11-01
- Wvs Brighton & Hove Albion2-02026-10-25
- Wat Brentford2-12026-10-17
- Lvs Manchester City0-32026-10-11
- Wat AFC Bournemouth1-02026-09-20
Head to head
- 2026-04-25Liverpool 3-1 Crystal Palace
- 2025-09-27Crystal Palace 2-1 Liverpool
- 2025-05-25Liverpool 1-1 Crystal Palace
- 2024-10-05Crystal Palace 0-1 Liverpool
- 2024-04-14Liverpool 0-1 Crystal Palace
Prediction made 2026-11-08 13:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.