Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Liverpool 28%, draw 28%, Arsenal 43%.

At home this season Liverpool average 0.67 points and 0.7 goals per game, conceding 1.7. Away from home Arsenal take 2.25 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Liverpool manage 4.3 per home game and Arsenal 2.5 per away game.

Expected goals from the model: Liverpool 1.09, Arsenal 1.34. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 44%.

In their last 5 league meetings Liverpool won 1, Arsenal won 1 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

• 1-113%
• 0-112%
• 1-010%
• 1-29%
• 0-09%

Liverpool form

• Wat Brentford2-12026-10-17
• Lvs Manchester City0-32026-10-11
• Wat AFC Bournemouth1-02026-09-20
• Dvs Fulham0-02026-09-12
• Wat Ipswich Town2-02026-09-04

Arsenal form

• Wat Nottingham Forest1-02026-10-18
• Wvs Leeds United2-12026-10-10
• Lat Brighton & Hove Albion0-32026-09-19
• Wat Sunderland2-02026-09-12
• Wvs Chelsea2-12026-09-06