Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

England · Premier League · 25 October 2026

Liverpool5th · 12 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Brighton & Hove Albion3rd · 16 pts
LiverpoolDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
Our predictionLiverpool to winOpen game
40%Probability
2.48Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.51-1.44Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Liverpool40%2.48
  • Draw26%3.82
  • Brighton & Hove Albion33%2.99

Double chance

  • Liverpool or draw67%1.50
  • Liverpool or Brighton & Hove Albion74%1.35
  • Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion60%1.68

Goals

  • Over 2.557%1.77
  • Under 2.543%2.30

Both teams to score

  • Yes59%1.69
  • No41%2.45

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Liverpool 40%, draw 26%, Brighton & Hove Albion 33%.

Expected goals from the model: Liverpool 1.51, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.44. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.

Liverpool have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLWDW).

Brighton & Hove Albion have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWWD).

In the table Liverpool are 5th with 12 points and Brighton & Hove Albion 3rd with 16.

In their last 5 league meetings Liverpool won 3, Brighton & Hove Albion won 2 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-28%
  • 1-08%
  • 0-18%

Liverpool form

WDWLW
  • Wat Brentford2-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Manchester City0-32026-10-11
  • Wat AFC Bournemouth1-02026-09-20
  • Dvs Fulham0-02026-09-12
  • Wat Ipswich Town2-02026-09-04

Brighton & Hove Albion form

DWWWW
  • Wvs Crystal Palace5-02026-10-18
  • Wat Sunderland2-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Arsenal3-02026-09-19
  • Wat Coventry City5-02026-09-13
  • Dvs Leeds United1-12026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2026-03-21Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Liverpool
  • 2025-12-13Liverpool 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 2025-05-19Brighton & Hove Albion 3-2 Liverpool
  • 2024-11-02Liverpool 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 2024-03-31Liverpool 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.