Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
Liverpool5th · 12 pts
Brighton & Hove Albion3rd · 16 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Liverpool40%2.48
- Draw26%3.82
- Brighton & Hove Albion33%2.99
Double chance
- Liverpool or draw67%1.50
- Liverpool or Brighton & Hove Albion74%1.35
- Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion60%1.68
Goals
- Over 2.557%1.77
- Under 2.543%2.30
Both teams to score
- Yes59%1.69
- No41%2.45
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Liverpool 40%, draw 26%, Brighton & Hove Albion 33%.
Expected goals from the model: Liverpool 1.51, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.44. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.
Liverpool have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLWDW).
Brighton & Hove Albion have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWWD).
In the table Liverpool are 5th with 12 points and Brighton & Hove Albion 3rd with 16.
In their last 5 league meetings Liverpool won 3, Brighton & Hove Albion won 2 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19%
- 1-28%
- 1-08%
- 0-18%
Liverpool form
- Wat Brentford2-12026-10-17
- Lvs Manchester City0-32026-10-11
- Wat AFC Bournemouth1-02026-09-20
- Dvs Fulham0-02026-09-12
- Wat Ipswich Town2-02026-09-04
Brighton & Hove Albion form
- Wvs Crystal Palace5-02026-10-18
- Wat Sunderland2-02026-10-10
- Wvs Arsenal3-02026-09-19
- Wat Coventry City5-02026-09-13
- Dvs Leeds United1-12026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-03-21Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Liverpool
- 2025-12-13Liverpool 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion
- 2025-05-19Brighton & Hove Albion 3-2 Liverpool
- 2024-11-02Liverpool 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion
- 2024-03-31Liverpool 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion
More Premier League predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.