Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Excelsior predictions

Model probabilities for the next Excelsior match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.

15thin the Eredivisie table
11points from 12 matches
3-2-7won, drawn, lost
16-29goals for and against

No scheduled matches in the next eight days.

Past Excelsior predictions

Full history ›

Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 3.

Excelsior in the backtest

July 2023 to October 2026

We ran the current model over Excelsior league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.

50.7%right result in 38 of 75 Excelsior matches
6 of 15Excelsior wins when the model favoured them
12 of 60Excelsior wins when the model favoured the opponent
Season (July to June)MatchesRight result
2026-2784 of 8
2025-263417 of 34 (50%)
2023-243317 of 33 (52%)

Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.

Excelsior this season

League matches in our data

AllHomeAway
Matches1266
Points per game0.920.501.33
Goals scored per game1.330.831.83
Goals conceded per game2.423.331.50
Shots on target per game3.32.54.2
Shots on target conceded5.87.04.5
Clean sheets17%0%33%
Over 2.5 goals83%83%83%
Both teams scored50%67%33%
  • Excelsior have lost their last 5 league matches.
  • The model rates their attack 16th and their defence 12th in the league.

Excelsior form

LLLLL
  • Lvs Go Ahead Eagles0-12026-11-07
  • Lvs Twente0-92026-11-01
  • Lat Fortuna Sittard0-12026-10-25
  • Lat Heerenveen0-42026-10-16
  • Lvs Groningen1-52026-10-11

Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.